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Commercial Event - The New Normal for the Economy and Real Estate

  • June 24, 2014
  • 7:30 AM - 9:00 AM
  • Multnomah Athletic Club - Ainsworth Room, 1849 SW Salmon St, Portland, OR 97205



Please join us as Ted C. Jones, PhD, Senior Vice President - Chief Economist with Stewart Title Guaranty discusses the following:

  • Job growth  -- despite the largest stimulus package in the history of the U.S. (more than $800 billion since 2009), the job growth rate is still a fraction of the level seen for the 20-years ending 2007.  For the 20 years ending 2007, compound annual job growth was 1.44 percent.  From the third-quarter 2007 through the third quarter of 2013, compound annual job growth was essentially zero.  Are we permanently stuck at these low levels, or is this a temporary plateau? And if temporary, what does it take to get job growth moving again?
  • Interest rates – while having just seen all-time record lows, when will rates increase and how much?  For both residential and commercial, and what will be the driving factors?
  • Opportunity costs and alternative investments – while interest rates were low, the opportunity cost of holding gold, for example, was relatively close to zero.  But rising rates change that entire equation.  How does this potential investment reallocation impact the economy and real estate?

Oregon Mortgage Bankers Association

2705 E Burnside St STE 212

Portland, OR 97214

Phone: 503.223.6622

Email: info@oremba.org

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